THT: A New Metric for the Skill Shown on Batted Balls

My latest article at The Hardball Times unveils my new batting statistic: Batted-Ball Run Value (BBRV). The metric runs exit velocity, launch angle, and more variables through a generalized boosted regression model to generate outcome probabilities, which can be converted into wOBA values. I find that BBRV is more predictive than any competing metrics currently out there, including MLBAM’s xwOBA.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s