Pitch Smart’s college-age guidelines have changed, so for InstaGraphs, I updated the violation benchmarks I found last August.
At FanGraphs today, I investigated the culture of pitcher overuse at UCLA. By several measures, Bruins pitchers are worked harder than their NCAA peers. You can read more here.
As a preview to tonight’s draft, I took a look at the workloads for NCAA pitchers projected to be drafted in the first round. The big takeaway is that UCLA’s Griffin Canning was worked very hard in his college career.
On Monday, I covered Robert Gsellman’s irregular velocity plummet within his starts this year. The decreased velocity trend and a drop in pitch spin have created a less effective pitcher, and hint at an injury.
Earlier this week, I took an in-depth look at Brian Dozier’s power output from last year, and found that his home run rate and success on BIP both look headed for a downturn. You can read more here.
For FanGraphs today, I examined the relationship between Travis d’Arnaud’s bat wrap and performance in the past two years. His exit velocities and pull rates show a clear disadvantage to his more wrapped set-ups. Check out the article for more details.
Yesterday for FanGraphs, I analyzed whether Noah Syndergaard’s much-discussed stolen base weakness would be more damaging in the postseason. Conventional wisdom is that come playoff time, stolen bases are more impactful and occur more frequently. Neither of these notions hold up against empirical evidence. Even in the postseason, a pitcher’s vulnerability to the running game is far less important than his performance against hitters. It should come as no surprise that Syndergaard was dominant yesterday.